• H1 2018 China Coking Coal Market Review and H2 2018 Outlook

  • Date of completion: Jul, 2018

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China's economy has been growing steadily in 1H18. Productions of crude steel and steel products continued growing, while those of pig iron and coke contracted. Coking coal consumption ticked down amid stability and its production proceeded smoothly. Supply-side reforms have forged ahead orderly. The policies are constantly strengthening. As coal prices head upward, the industrial profits over Jan-Apr totaled 101.9 bln yuan, up 15.5% YoY.

Fenwei Energy is now timely releasing "H1 2018 China Coking Coal Market Review and H2 2018 Outlook", analyzing coking coal market in 1H18 from policy evolutions, consumption volume, coal production and supply, market prices, logistics and imports & exports, and provide an explicit anticipation in 2H18. The report incorporates abundant data, figures and technical parameters, which shall definitely act as a valuable reference for professionals and market players in the coal industry.


Part 1: H1 2018 China Coking Coal Market Review

1. H1 2018 China Coking Coal Market Overview

2. Macro-economic Background

    2.1 Macro-economic overview-GDP, IVA, PMI, CPI, PPI...

    2.2 FAI-investments into real estate, infrastructure and manufacturing

    2.3 Productions of main steel-related industries-automobile, vessel building and home appliances

3. China Coking Coal Demand

    3.1 Operation of steel sector

          3.1.1 Policies affecting the operation of steel sector-de-capacity, environmental protection, air pollution control...

          3.1.2 Productions of pig iron, crude steel and steel products

                  ——In whole China and by region

                  ——By steel type

          3.1.3 Steel imports & exports

          3.1.4 Steel prices

    3.2 Operation of coking industry

          3.2.1 Coke capacity and output

          3.2.2 Coke imports & exports

          3.2.3 Coke prices

    3.3 Coking coal consumption

          3.3.1 In whole China and by region

          3.3.2 By coal type

4. Major Policies Affecting Development and Market of Coking Coal Industry

    4.1 Supply-side reforms

          4.1.1 De-capacity

          4.1.2 Construction and upward verification of advanced capacity

    4.2 Safeguarding safety production

    4.3 Stabilizing coal prices

    4.4 Environmental protection and air pollution treatment

    4.5 Regulating coal imports & exports

5. China Coking Coal Supply

    5.1 Coking coal production capacity-in whole China and by region

    5.2 Coking coal supply in whole China

    5.3 Coking coal supply by province

    5.4 Coking coal supply by coal type

6. China Coking Coal Market

    6.1 Coking coal logistics

    6.2 Coking coal imports

          6.2.1 By origin

          6.2.2 By province-imports by coastal provinces

          6.2.3 Main importers

    6.3 Coking coal exports

          6.3.1 By destination

          6.3.2 By province

    6.4 Changes of coking coal stocks

    6.5 Coking coal demand and supply balance analysis

7. Coking Coal Price

    7.1 Domestic coking coal prices (at producing areas, transfer ports and consuming areas)

    7.2 International coking coal prices

    7.3 Comparison between China domestic and international coking coal prices

Part 2: H2 2018 Coking Coal Market Outlook

8. Macro-economic Outlook

    8.1 Macro-economic outlook-GDP, IVA, CPI, investments into fixed asset, infrastructure and real estate

    8.2 Outlook on main steel-related industries-automobile, vessel building, home appliances

9. Coking coal demand forecast

    9.1 Steel industry development forecast

         9.1.1 Outputs of pig iron and crude steel

         9.1.2 Steel imports & exports

    9.2 Coking industry development forecast

         9.2.1 Coke output

         9.2.2 Coke exports

    9.3 Coking coal demand forecast

10. Trend of Policies Affecting the Operation of Coking Coal Market

     10.1 Supply-side reforms

     10.2 Ensuring the Supply

     10.3 Stabilizing coal prices

     10.4 Safety inspections

     10.5 Environmental inspections and air pollution control

11. Coking Coal Supply Forecast

     11.1 Coking coal production capacity forecast - capacity of operating, construction-completed and under-construction mines

     11.2 Coking coal output forecast

     11.3 Changes of coking coal stocks

12. Coking Coal Imports & Exports Forecast

     12.1 Import and export policies

     12.2 Coking coal imports

     12.3 Coking coal exports

13. Coking Coal Price Forecast

     13.1 Price-affecting factors analysis

     13.2 Coking coal price forecast (monthly average price forecast of Liulin coking coal on free-on-rail basis and Shanxi primary coking coal at Jingtang Port on ex-stock basis)